Marisca Mersch vs Minerva Lintgen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
KEH
0 - 2
MAR
20%
20%
61%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 0
LOR
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 1
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
FEU
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ATE
1 - 1
MAR
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Minerva Lintgen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MLI
6 - 0
DCE
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 3
MLI
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MLI
4 - 1
RES
72%
17%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
MLI
38%
26%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
MLI
2 - 0
JEU
67%
18%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |