Marisca Mersch vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
JEU
3 - 1
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
RES
70%
16%
14%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
MAR
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
KEH
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LOR
0 - 3
AVE
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
RES
5 - 1
LOR
38%
22%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LOR
3 - 1
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
KEH
0 - 5
LOR
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 0
BOE
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |