Marino vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
28.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
XER
3 - 1
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1992 |
MAR
2 - 0
REA
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
MAR
2 - 0
POL
43%
30%
28%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 1992 |
REA
3 - 0
MAR
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -2 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
CDF
2 - 2
MAR
41%
30%
29%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
VEL
1 - 2
RJA
35%
29%
36%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
RJA
1 - 0
REC
42%
30%
28%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1992 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALM
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
MEL
0 - 1
RJA
40%
32%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
ALM
1 - 2
RJA
83%
13%
5%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +2 |