Marino vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1990 |
ALB
5 - 2
MAR
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1990 |
MAR
2 - 1
MER
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
MEL
4 - 0
MAR
60%
25%
15%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1990 |
MAR
2 - 0
TOM
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
CDT
0 - 3
MAR
31%
31%
38%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1990 |
RJA
0 - 0
UTR
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
EST
4 - 1
RJA
48%
28%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
RJA
0 - 0
LIN
43%
29%
29%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1990 |
SAN
0 - 0
RJA
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDB
41%
28%
31%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |