Marino vs Guía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PPJ
1 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
COM
61%
22%
18%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 2
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
VTZ
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
UDL
0 - 0
MAR
41%
27%
33%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GUI
0 - 0
TER
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
HUR
2 - 1
GUI
45%
25%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 1
COR
42%
27%
31%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LAN
3 - 0
GUI
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
GUI
4 - 0
VER
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |