Campeonato de Portugal Qualifying Round Round 5

Marinhense vs Condeixa analysis

Marinhense Condeixa
31 ELO 33
-13.5% Tilt -9.1%
5155º General ELO ranking 26374º
98º Country ELO ranking 528º
ELO win probability
35.6%
Marinhense
23.7%
Draw
40.7%
Condeixa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
Marinhense
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
40.7%
Win probability
Condeixa
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Marinhense
Condeixa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marinhense
Marinhense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2021
ALV
FC Alverca
4 - 0
Marinhense
MAR
75%
16%
10%
31 45 14 0
09 May. 2021
MAR
Marinhense
1 - 3
União Santarém
USA
39%
23%
38%
33 34 1 -2
02 May. 2021
CON
Condeixa
1 - 1
Marinhense
MAR
53%
22%
25%
32 36 4 +1
25 Apr. 2021
MAR
Marinhense
0 - 3
FC Alverca
ALV
24%
26%
50%
34 45 11 -2
10 Apr. 2021
MAR
Marinhense
1 - 2
Oliveira Hospital
OLI
43%
25%
32%
35 36 1 -1

Matches

Condeixa
Condeixa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2021
CON
Condeixa
2 - 3
União Santarém
USA
42%
23%
35%
36 35 1 0
09 May. 2021
ALV
FC Alverca
3 - 2
Condeixa
CON
68%
20%
13%
36 45 9 0
02 May. 2021
CON
Condeixa
1 - 1
Marinhense
MAR
53%
22%
25%
36 32 4 0
25 Apr. 2021
USA
União Santarém
0 - 1
Condeixa
CON
49%
22%
29%
36 34 2 0
10 Apr. 2021
CON
Condeixa
0 - 0
Sertanense
SER
53%
23%
25%
36 33 3 0