Campeonato de Portugal Grupo E. Jor. 18

Marinhense vs Condeixa analysis

Marinhense Condeixa
33 ELO 29
-13.1% Tilt -8.6%
5058º General ELO ranking 24996º
81º Country ELO ranking 522º
ELO win probability
50.9%
Marinhense
22.1%
Draw
27%
Condeixa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
Marinhense
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27%
Win probability
Condeixa
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Marinhense
Condeixa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marinhense
Marinhense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2021
UDL
União de Leiria
1 - 1
Marinhense
MAR
70%
20%
11%
32 46 14 0
14 Feb. 2021
ALC
Alcains
1 - 1
Marinhense
MAR
24%
22%
54%
32 23 9 0
07 Feb. 2021
MAR
Marinhense
0 - 1
Oleiros
OLE
45%
25%
30%
33 34 1 -1
03 Feb. 2021
MAR
Marinhense
2 - 1
Carapinheirense
CAR
59%
22%
20%
33 27 6 0
30 Jan. 2021
BEN
Benfica Castelo Branco
1 - 0
Marinhense
MAR
58%
22%
21%
33 38 5 0

Matches

Condeixa
Condeixa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2021
UDL
União de Leiria
1 - 0
Condeixa
CON
75%
17%
8%
30 46 16 0
07 Feb. 2021
CON
Condeixa
0 - 1
Oliveira Hospital
OLI
46%
23%
31%
31 32 1 -1
03 Feb. 2021
CON
Condeixa
0 - 0
Benfica Castelo Branco
BEN
28%
23%
49%
31 39 8 0
30 Jan. 2021
ALC
Alcains
1 - 1
Condeixa
CON
25%
22%
53%
31 23 8 0
24 Jan. 2021
CON
Condeixa
1 - 2
Mortágua
MOR
54%
22%
25%
32 28 4 -1
X