Marinhas vs Torcatense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
MAR
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
JOA
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 2
MAR
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SER
5 - 2
MAR
51%
23%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
TDB
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
TDB
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 1
TOR
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
CEL
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NIN
2 - 0
TOR
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 0
SPA
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |