Marine vs Frickley Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUI
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
KEN
4 - 1
MAR
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
UNM
3 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
7 - 2
DUR
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +4 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
BUX
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Frickley Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
STO
4 - 1
FRI
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FRI
1 - 1
WOR
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
FRI
0 - 1
BOS
33%
28%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
WHI
3 - 1
FRI
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
OSS
4 - 1
FRI
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |