Marine vs Ashton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 2
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 1
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
COA
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
WIT
1 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 3
ASH
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASH
10%
14%
76%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
ASH
2 - 1
LAN
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
WHI
3 - 2
ASH
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 3
ASH
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
ASH
1 - 4
BUX
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |