Marín CF vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marín CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
ORD
0 - 1
MAR
49%
22%
28%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
MAR
2 - 0
ARO
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ACF
3 - 0
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
MAR
4 - 0
CEL
35%
24%
42%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
LUG
2 - 0
ARO
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
ACF
3 - 0
LUG
42%
26%
33%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
LUG
3 - 1
CEL
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
VIV
1 - 1
LUG
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
LUG
6 - 0
CHO
88%
8%
4%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |