Marília vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAR
24%
22%
54%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
TAB
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAP
60%
21%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAR
15%
20%
66%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 6
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 4
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
SER
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 0
TAB
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAP
3 - 2
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 1
FLA
8%
17%
75%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | 0 |