Marília vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
SAO
48%
23%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
MOG
0 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 3
SAO
21%
23%
56%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 1
BRA
47%
23%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
ATM
0 - 2
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ATM
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
ATM
4 - 1
MIN
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ATM
2 - 2
CRZ
44%
24%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
MIN
3 - 2
ATM
15%
22%
63%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | -1 |