Marignane vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
GAZ
36%
28%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
AND
0 - 0
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
FCM
24%
28%
48%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SAE
3 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
JUR
2 - 1
MAR
49%
27%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
GAZ
36%
28%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
GAZ
3 - 1
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
GAZ
1 - 1
AND
47%
27%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FCM
2 - 1
GAZ
52%
27%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GAZ
2 - 2
SAE
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |