National 2 Group C Round 29

Marignane Gignac vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis

Marignane Gignac Sporting Toulon Var
53 ELO 48
-21.8% Tilt -7%
3135º General ELO ranking 2979º
74º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
57.4%
Marignane Gignac
25.3%
Draw
17.3%
Sporting Toulon Var

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
Marignane Gignac
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
17.3%
Win probability
Sporting Toulon Var
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marignane Gignac
-19%
+39%
Sporting Toulon Var

Points and table prediction

Marignane Gignac
Their league position
Sporting Toulon Var
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
35
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marignane Gignac
56
57
100%
Grasse
51
54
36%
Lyon-Duchère
51
52
36%
Thonon Évian
48
49
36%
Jura Sud
49
49
36%
Fréjus St-Raphaël
42
43
70%
Auxerre II
41
42
35.5%
Olympique Alès
10º
35
41
49%
Hyères
39
40
37.5%
Canet Roussillon
11º
35
39
10º
61.5%
Aubagne
36
37
11º
50.5%
CS Louhans Cuiseaux
12º
35
36
12º
50.5%
Sporting Toulon Var
13º
35
36
13º
50.5%
Olympique Lyonnais II
14º
32
33
14º
100%
Saint-Priest
15º
26
29
15º
100%
Sète
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Marignane Gignac
Sporting Toulon Var
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 49.5%
Relegation
0% 50.5%

ELO progression

Marignane Gignac
Sporting Toulon Var
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marignane Gignac
Marignane Gignac
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2023
OLY
Olympique Lyonnais II
1 - 2
Marignane Gignac
MGG
25%
25%
50%
53 44 9 0
06 May. 2023
MGG
Marignane Gignac
1 - 1
Saint-Priest
SAI
63%
23%
14%
53 43 10 0
29 Apr. 2023
OLY
Olympique Alès
1 - 2
Marignane Gignac
MGG
32%
28%
40%
53 49 4 0
22 Apr. 2023
MGG
Marignane Gignac
1 - 0
CS Louhans Cuiseaux
CSL
55%
24%
20%
53 45 8 0
15 Apr. 2023
GRA
Grasse
0 - 0
Marignane Gignac
MGG
52%
25%
23%
53 58 5 0

Matches

Sporting Toulon Var
Sporting Toulon Var
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2023
SPO
Sporting Toulon Var
3 - 1
Thonon Évian
THO
28%
25%
46%
45 51 6 0
06 May. 2023
SPO
Sporting Toulon Var
4 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais II
OLY
34%
26%
41%
43 46 3 +2
29 Apr. 2023
SAI
Saint-Priest
2 - 1
Sporting Toulon Var
SPO
43%
27%
30%
45 42 3 -2
22 Apr. 2023
SPO
Sporting Toulon Var
0 - 0
Olympique Alès
OLY
33%
26%
41%
44 49 5 +1
15 Apr. 2023
CSL
CS Louhans Cuiseaux
3 - 0
Sporting Toulon Var
SPO
44%
26%
30%
46 44 2 -2