Marignane Gignac U19 vs Toulouse U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
14º
7º
34
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MGG
1 - 0
ROD
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MGG
1 - 1
MON
30%
23%
48%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
MGG
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MGG
0 - 0
ETI
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 2
MGG
54%
21%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TOU
4 - 2
BAS
55%
21%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
TOU
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 0
AJA
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ETI
1 - 3
TOU
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 3
AJA
51%
22%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |