Marignane Gignac II vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
70.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
14º
14º
0
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 3
LUC
12%
17%
71%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 0
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 1
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
NIC
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 0
MAR
79%
15%
6%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GAZ
3 - 2
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
GAZ
27%
26%
48%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GAZ
3 - 3
SCR
62%
21%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
GAZ
6 - 0
USM
90%
8%
3%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LUC
3 - 2
GAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |