Marienlyst vs Brabrand II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
1º
15
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
VEJ
6%
14%
80%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
MAR
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
BOL
59%
20%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
B19
2 - 4
MAR
32%
22%
47%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
OKS
3 - 2
MAR
43%
22%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brabrand II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
3 - 1
OKS
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HED
2 - 3
BRA
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
RIN
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TAR
4 - 0
BRA
43%
23%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 3
OTB
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |