Marienlyst vs Aarup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
OTB
1 - 1
MAR
34%
22%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
LIF
0 - 1
MAR
31%
23%
46%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VIB
2 - 2
MAR
28%
22%
50%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
LFA
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
AAR
0 - 4
VIB
64%
19%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
AAR
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
AAR
4 - 3
LFA
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FYN
2 - 0
AAR
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AAR
0 - 6
NAS
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |