St. Marienkirchen vs Sierning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 1
SIE
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
SIE
6 - 0
BAD
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 2
STM
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
GRI
1 - 1
SIE
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 1
BAD
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |