Mariekerke vs Berlaar-Heikant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
12º
11º
61
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mariekerke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GBA
3 - 4
MAR
51%
22%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
VOS
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
KFC
1 - 3
MAR
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
BED
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LOE
0 - 3
MAR
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Berlaar-Heikant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BER
4 - 0
SKS
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TER
3 - 1
BER
72%
15%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
TIS
29%
22%
50%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ANT
2 - 2
BER
42%
23%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BER
6 - 3
GBA
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +3 |