Maribor vs Tabor Sežana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
10º
3º
24
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 4
MAR
8%
15%
77%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NSM
2 - 1
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
CEL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 1
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
OLI
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tabor Sežana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
TAS
0 - 1
ROG
51%
23%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 1
BRA
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 0
TAS
52%
24%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
NSM
2 - 2
TAS
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TAS
2 - 2
CEL
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |