Maribor vs Radomlje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
7º
3º
9
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 70 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 59 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 58 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 53 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 51 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 48 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 34 |
10º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
11% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
42% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
MAR
3 - 3
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
NKP
0 - 2
MAR
38%
26%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 2
FCK
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAK
41%
22%
38%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
DOM
1 - 2
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Radomlje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
RAD
3 - 1
NKP
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 2
RAD
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
RAD
2 - 0
DOM
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
CEL
2 - 0
RAD
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
1 - 2
ALU
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |