Q. Europa League Play-Offs Final
Global 2-3
Maribor vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
ALU
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
FKQ
3 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GOR
2 - 1
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
OLI
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
ABE
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
FKQ
3 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
FKQ
0 - 0
SHA
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
FKQ
2 - 0
FCK
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
FKQ
1 - 0
LIL
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 1
FKQ
57%
26%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |