Maribor vs Dravograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
NKD
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
GOR
2 - 0
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
DOM
0 - 1
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
KRS
0 - 3
MAR
13%
21%
66%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
LJU
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dravograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
DRA
2 - 0
DOM
51%
23%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
DRA
1 - 5
DOM
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
LJU
1 - 3
DRA
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
DRA
1 - 4
SMA
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
NKP
2 - 2
DRA
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |