Maribor vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALU
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
DIF
1 - 1
MAR
29%
23%
48%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 4
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
BIR
1 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
45%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
BIR
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
DIF
1 - 1
MAR
29%
23%
48%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
KAE
0 - 2
DIF
14%
17%
69%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
DIF
3 - 1
JEU
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
DIF
4 - 2
MAR
66%
19%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ULU
0 - 1
DIF
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |