Slovenian National League Round 5

Maribor vs Celje analysis

Maribor Celje
78 ELO 68
11.9% Tilt 10.3%
1024º General ELO ranking 993º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
69.5%
Maribor
18.3%
Draw
12.1%
Celje

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
Maribor
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.1%
Win probability
Celje
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maribor
+16%
+56%
Celje

ELO progression

Maribor
Celje
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maribor
Maribor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2000
MAR
Maribor
2 - 1
Primorje
NKP
65%
20%
15%
77 71 6 0
05 Aug. 2000
FCK
FC Koper
1 - 2
Maribor
MAR
18%
24%
58%
77 60 17 0
02 Aug. 2000
MAR
Maribor
1 - 0
Zimbru Chişinău
ZIM
52%
22%
26%
76 78 2 +1
26 Jul. 2000
ZIM
Zimbru Chişinău
2 - 0
Maribor
MAR
59%
20%
21%
77 78 1 -1
22 Jul. 2000
DRA
Dravograd
1 - 1
Maribor
MAR
22%
23%
55%
77 62 15 0

Matches

Celje
Celje
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2000
CEL
Celje
2 - 0
FC Koper
FCK
67%
20%
14%
68 59 9 0
06 Aug. 2000
NKP
Primorje
2 - 2
Celje
CEL
61%
22%
18%
68 71 3 0
29 Jul. 2000
CEL
Celje
1 - 3
Dravograd
DRA
67%
19%
14%
69 62 7 -1
23 Jul. 2000
NKO
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
3 - 1
Celje
CEL
65%
19%
15%
70 72 2 -1
21 May. 2000
CEL
Celje
7 - 0
Beltinci
BEL
74%
17%
10%
70 53 17 0