Mariano Calcio vs Trevigliese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mariano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SCA
1 - 0
MAR
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BRU
1 - 1
MAR
37%
24%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 3
ACA
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
REA
1 - 1
MAR
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VER
1 - 1
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Trevigliese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TRE
3 - 3
BRU
39%
24%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 2
TRE
32%
23%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TRE
0 - 2
REA
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
NIB
4 - 1
TRE
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 0
TRE
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |