Marialvas vs Moinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
68.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marialvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ADE
3 - 0
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 3
VRA
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LOU
3 - 1
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
SEP
40%
23%
36%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GAN
0 - 2
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Moinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MOI
1 - 0
RIB
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PER
4 - 1
MOI
16%
20%
64%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOI
1 - 2
AGU
36%
23%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 4
MOI
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MOI
1 - 1
POI
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |