Marialvas U15 vs União de Leiria U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
6º
32
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marialvas U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LEM
0 - 1
MRV
9%
15%
76%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MRV
1 - 0
MAR
66%
18%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ACA
3 - 0
MRV
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FAT
1 - 3
MRV
12%
17%
71%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MRV
3 - 1
ANA
84%
10%
5%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UDL
4 - 1
ANA
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TON
2 - 0
UDL
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
5 - 1
BEN
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 1
GFN
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 4
FAT
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |