Maria da Fonte vs Cerveira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
MAR
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIL
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
FAO
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
JOA
0 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CER
0 - 3
VIA
14%
21%
65%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
CER
80%
14%
7%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CER
1 - 1
ESP
10%
19%
71%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | +3 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
AMA
1 - 2
CER
79%
14%
7%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CER
0 - 1
BRA
11%
19%
70%
|
10 | 42 | 32 | 0 |