Margate vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
STE
2 - 1
MAR
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 2
TAM
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
FAR
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 1
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 3
HER
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 0
AFC
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
DAG
1 - 3
MOR
42%
25%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
4 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
STE
0 - 1
MOR
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 3
EXE
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |