Marek vs Svoboda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
VIH
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
GER
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ELP
0 - 2
MAR
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PIR
0 - 2
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Svoboda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
PIR
1 - 3
SVO
30%
22%
49%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CSK
7 - 0
SVO
81%
14%
6%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SVO
1 - 0
RIL
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
SVO
21%
20%
59%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 0
SVO
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |