Marek vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2005 |
CSK
5 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
9%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
ROD
55%
26%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
LPL
3 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
OFK
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 0
MAR
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2005 |
NES
0 - 3
LOV
18%
26%
56%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
VID
2 - 1
NES
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
NES
2 - 3
LSO
21%
28%
51%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CVA
2 - 1
NES
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
NES
0 - 4
LSO
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |