Marek vs Ludogorets II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
LKL
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
DOB
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BPL
1 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ludogorets II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
LKL
1 - 2
LUD
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LUD
5 - 0
DOB
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
LOV
1 - 2
LUD
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
CSK
4 - 3
LUD
32%
26%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |