Marek vs Hebar 2011 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
BEL
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OBO
1 - 1
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
PIR
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MIN
0 - 2
MAR
18%
25%
57%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
FKV
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Hebar 2011
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HEB
0 - 3
FKV
21%
23%
56%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
HEB
1 - 1
KOS
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
RIL
3 - 0
HEB
81%
13%
7%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
3 - 0
HEB
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HEB
0 - 3
VEL
30%
23%
46%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |