Marek vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FKH
2 - 1
MAR
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
RAK
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 2
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
BVR
51%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
MON
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 0
ASV
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 0
FKH
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RAK
1 - 1
DUN
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 2
BAN
27%
27%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 2
BVR
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |