Marek vs Dunav Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1971 |
MAR
3 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
MAR
2 - 2
CVA
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1971 |
CSK
2 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1971 |
AKA
0 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
MAR
1 - 0
ETA
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
DUN
1 - 1
ETA
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
CHB
2 - 0
DUN
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
DUN
2 - 1
TUN
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1971 |
BVR
6 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
DUN
3 - 1
SPA
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |