Marek vs Chepinets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
6 - 0
VEL
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
KOS
1 - 1
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
SEP
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
GER
81%
14%
6%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
HEB
2 - 5
MAR
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Chepinets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 1
KOS
54%
21%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 2
CHE
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
9 - 0
HEB
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
BEL
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
GER
2 - 1
CHE
15%
22%
63%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |