Marek vs Botev Ihtiman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
BEL
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
GER
1 - 2
MAR
7%
17%
76%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | -4 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
PIR
81%
14%
6%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
SVO
84%
12%
5%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Botev Ihtiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
SVO
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
STR
3 - 0
BOT
70%
19%
12%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 3
CHE
85%
11%
4%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 0
BOT
52%
20%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 3
BAL
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |