Marcon B vs A Lama SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcon B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
MAR
51%
22%
27%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 2
AES
21%
21%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
MAR
48%
23%
30%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
SAM
23%
22%
54%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAM
6 - 2
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
A Lama SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ALA
6 - 1
SAD
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CER
1 - 2
ALA
21%
21%
58%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALA
10 - 0
PRE
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 8
ALA
17%
20%
64%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALA
7 - 2
SOU
74%
15%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |