Marcílio Dias vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
68.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
NES
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
FFL
22%
26%
53%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAC
0 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
VOL
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 4
VAS
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 0
AUD
87%
11%
3%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 0
FLA
23%
24%
52%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |