Marcílio Dias vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAC
77%
15%
9%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HER
3 - 3
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
BRU
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
GOI
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
VER
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
VER
1 - 0
SAN
54%
22%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |