Marcílio Dias vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 2
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHA
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MET
3 - 0
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
JEC
22%
23%
54%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FFL
5 - 0
MAR
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
3 - 0
CAM
83%
11%
5%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BRU
0 - 1
AVA
13%
20%
67%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 1
HER
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
AVA
3 - 2
CRI
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |