Marcílio Dias vs Aimoré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
MAR
58%
25%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
RIO
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 1
MAR
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
JUV
46%
28%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAR
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aimoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
AIM
0 - 0
JEC
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
AIM
40%
28%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
AIM
55%
26%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
AIM
2 - 0
CAX
37%
30%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
AIM
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |