Tercera División RFEF XVIII - Castilla - La Mancha Round 31

CD Marchamalo vs Atlético Tomelloso analysis

CD Marchamalo Atlético Tomelloso
33 ELO 27
-13% Tilt -15.6%
7928º General ELO ranking 10451º
377º Country ELO ranking 727º
ELO win probability
66.2%
CD Marchamalo
19.8%
Draw
14%
Atlético Tomelloso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
CD Marchamalo
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14%
Win probability
Atlético Tomelloso
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

CD Marchamalo
Their league position
Atlético Tomelloso
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
18º
14º
26
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
UB Conquense
73
73
100%
CD Cazalegas
59
59
100%
CD Toledo
58
58
100%
UD Yugo Socuéllamos
58
58
100%
CD Quintanar del Rey
57
57
100%
CS Puertollano
56
56
100%
Villarrubia CF
55
55
100%
CD Tarancón
47
47
100%
Atlético Albacete
46
46
100%
CD Azuqueca
10º
43
43
10º
100%
CD Villacañas
11º
41
41
11º
0%
CP Villarrobledo
12º
41
41
12º
0%
CF La Solana
14º
39
39
13º
0%
CD Marchamalo
13º
39
39
14º
0%
Huracán de Balazote
15º
38
38
15º
100%
CD Torrijos
16º
28
28
16º
100%
Atlético Tomelloso
17º
26
26
17º
100%
AD San Clemente
18º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Marchamalo
Atlético Tomelloso
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

CD Marchamalo
Atlético Tomelloso
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Marchamalo
CD Marchamalo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2024
UDS
UD Yugo Socuéllamos
3 - 0
CD Marchamalo
MAR
62%
21%
17%
35 42 7 0
14 Apr. 2024
MAR
CD Marchamalo
1 - 0
CF La Solana
LSO
55%
23%
23%
35 31 4 0
07 Apr. 2024
CSP
CS Puertollano
4 - 0
CD Marchamalo
MAR
64%
20%
16%
36 42 6 -1
31 Mar. 2024
MAR
CD Marchamalo
4 - 1
AD San Clemente
CLE
64%
21%
16%
35 27 8 +1
28 Mar. 2024
VIL
CD Villacañas
2 - 0
CD Marchamalo
MAR
35%
26%
39%
37 33 4 -2

Matches

Atlético Tomelloso
Atlético Tomelloso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2024
ATT
Atlético Tomelloso
2 - 0
Huracán de Balazote
HBA
24%
23%
53%
24 33 9 0
13 Apr. 2024
UBC
UB Conquense
1 - 0
Atlético Tomelloso
ATT
75%
17%
8%
24 45 21 0
07 Apr. 2024
ATT
Atlético Tomelloso
0 - 2
CD Toledo
CDT
24%
25%
51%
25 38 13 -1
31 Mar. 2024
CAZ
CD Cazalegas
1 - 1
Atlético Tomelloso
ATT
82%
12%
6%
25 41 16 0
28 Mar. 2024
VIL
CP Villarrobledo
2 - 1
Atlético Tomelloso
ATT
65%
21%
15%
25 33 8 0