March Town United vs Rugby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
61.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
March Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 2
MTU
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MTU
2 - 1
OAD
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DES
2 - 0
MTU
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HIS
2 - 1
MTU
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MTU
5 - 0
COV
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Rugby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RUG
2 - 0
COV
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
RUG
7 - 0
ROT
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
RUG
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
RUG
1 - 0
GRA
42%
26%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 3
RUG
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |