Maranhão vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
MAR
63%
22%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
RIV
24%
27%
50%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +4 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
POT
0 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
POT
1 - 2
GUA
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
POT
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
POT
0 - 2
RIV
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
POT
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
POT
0 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |