Maranhão vs Imperatriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 1
MAR
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 2
QUI
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 2
MAR
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2006 |
IMP
0 - 0
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 4
CFC
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Imperatriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
IMP
1 - 1
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
JCA
0 - 0
IMP
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2006 |
IMP
4 - 4
JCA
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
JCA
2 - 0
IMP
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2006 |
IMP
0 - 0
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |