Maracena vs CD Basto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
CDI
3 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
MAR
5 - 3
AGU
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
ALB
2 - 0
MAR
51%
27%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
HUE
5 - 1
MAR
60%
23%
16%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
HUE
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
CDB
1 - 4
FUE
11%
20%
69%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
GRA
9 - 1
CDB
82%
13%
5%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
CDB
0 - 3
ALH
14%
21%
66%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
TOR
5 - 1
CDB
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
CDB
0 - 2
ALM
14%
22%
64%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | -1 |